Okay. Pretend there are three doors, yourself and me. Behind one of the doors is a free car. Behind each of the other two doors is only a box of wasps.
I will always narrow down the right answer to two doors - one you did not chose and the one you did. After I narrow…
i pick a door. there is a 1/3 chance that the door i pick has a car behind it. there is a 2/3 chance that either of the other doors has a car behind it. you open a door that i did not pick and reveal there are wasps behind it. the other door does not have a 2/3 chance of having a car behind it - that particular door, like the other 3, has a 1/3 chance of having a car behind it, because at the start each door was equally likely to have a car behind it, so each door had ,and will always have, a 1/3 chance of having a car behind it.
you got the 2/3 from the combined probability of the 2 doors. 1/3+1/3=2/3, but once you open one door and want the probability of the other door, 2/3-1/3=1/3.
i don’t care about the fancy ass names and wikipedia page, your maths is wrong.
UK SHOW ANNOUNCEMENT: London Barfly. July 2nd. Tickets on sale Friday at 9 AM! Yay!!!
TICKETS ON SALE FRIDAY AT 9 AM.
it’s getting to that time of the year where everybody isn’t quite sure if they should be wearing coats or not like you’ll see some people walking around in t-shirts and others wearing coats and scarves like nobody is really sure if it’s actually getting cold out or not
nonbinary people who are okay with gendered pronouns/names are still nonbinary and if a nonbinary person tells you they’re okay with gendered pronouns then it’s really not your place to say that their gender identity is less valid because of that, even if you yourself are nonbinary. Gender is different for everyone and there’s no “valid way” to be a certain gender the only validation you need is your own.